A Complexity Based Model for Quantifying Forensic Evidential Probabilities

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference paper

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185 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

An operational complexity model (OCM) is proposed to enable the complexity of both the cognitive and the computational components of a process to be determined. From the complexity of formation of a set of traces via a specified route a measure of the probability of that route can be determined. By determining the complexities of alternative routes leading to the formation of the same set of traces, the odds indicating the relative plausibility of the alternative routes can be found. An illustrative application to a BitTorrent piracy case is presented, and the results obtained suggest that the OCM is capable of providing a realistic estimate of the odds for two competing hypotheses. It is also demonstrated that the OCM can be straightforwardly refined to encompass a variety of circumstances.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAvailability, Reliability, and Security, 2010. ARES '10 International Conference on Availability, Reliability and Security
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings, the Fifth International Conference on Availability, Reliability and Security : Krakow, Poland, 15-18 February 2010
Place of PublicationLos Alamitos, Calif
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages671 - 676
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9780769539652, 9781424458790
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2010
Event5th International Conference on Availability, Reliability and Security - Cracow, Poland
Duration: 15 Feb 201018 Feb 2010

Conference

Conference5th International Conference on Availability, Reliability and Security
Country/TerritoryPoland
CityCracow
Period15/02/201018/02/2010

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