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Capital Inflows, Financial Structure and Housing Booms

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Filipa Sa, Pascal Towbin, Tomasz Wieladek

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)522-546
Number of pages25
JournalJournal of the European Economic Association
Volume12
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2014

King's Authors

Abstract

We use a panel VAR to study the effect of shocks to capital inflows, which are identified using sign restrictions, on the housing market in OECD countries. To explore how effects of these shocks change with the structure of the mortgage market and the degree of mortgage securitization, we allow the VAR coefficients to vary with mortgage-market characteristics. Our results indicate that capital-inflow shocks have a significant and positive effect on real house prices, real credit available to the private sector, and real residential investment. The responses of these variables are stronger in countries with more developed mortgage markets and in countries where securitization is allowed.

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