TY - JOUR
T1 - Different trajectories of depression, anxiety and anhedonia symptoms in the first 12 months of the COVID-19 pandemic in a UK longitudinal sample
AU - Parsons, Christine E.
AU - Purves, Kirstin L.
AU - Skelton, Megan
AU - Peel, Alicia J.
AU - Davies, Molly R.
AU - Rijsdijk, Fruhling
AU - Bristow, Shannon
AU - Eley, Thalia C.
AU - Breen, Gerome
AU - Hirsch, Colette R.
AU - Young, Katherine S.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press.
PY - 2022/12/5
Y1 - 2022/12/5
N2 - Background. While studies from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic have described initial negative effects on mental health and exacerbating mental health inequalities, longer-term studies are only now emerging. Method. In total, 34 465 individuals in the UK completed online questionnaires and were recontacted over the first 12 months of the pandemic. We used growth mixture modelling to identify trajectories of depression, anxiety and anhedonia symptoms using the 12-month data. We identified sociodemographic predictors of trajectory class membership using multinomial regression models. Results. Most participants had consistently low symptoms of depression or anxiety over the year of assessments (60%, 69% respectively), and a minority had consistently high symptoms (10%, 15%). We also identified participants who appeared to show improvements in symptoms as the pandemic progressed, and others who showed the opposite pattern, marked symptom worsening, until the second national lockdown. Unexpectedly, most participants showed stable low positive affect, indicating anhedonia, throughout the 12-month period. From regression analyses, younger age, reporting a previous mental health diagnosis, non-binary, or self-defined gender, and an unemployed or a student status were significantly associated with membership of the stable high symptom groups for depression and anxiety. Conclusions. While most participants showed little change in their depression and anxiety symptoms across the first year of the pandemic, we highlight the divergent responses of subgroups of participants, who fared both better and worse around national lockdowns. We confirm that previously identified predictors of negative outcomes in the first months of the pandemic also predict negative outcomes over a 12-month period.
AB - Background. While studies from the start of the COVID-19 pandemic have described initial negative effects on mental health and exacerbating mental health inequalities, longer-term studies are only now emerging. Method. In total, 34 465 individuals in the UK completed online questionnaires and were recontacted over the first 12 months of the pandemic. We used growth mixture modelling to identify trajectories of depression, anxiety and anhedonia symptoms using the 12-month data. We identified sociodemographic predictors of trajectory class membership using multinomial regression models. Results. Most participants had consistently low symptoms of depression or anxiety over the year of assessments (60%, 69% respectively), and a minority had consistently high symptoms (10%, 15%). We also identified participants who appeared to show improvements in symptoms as the pandemic progressed, and others who showed the opposite pattern, marked symptom worsening, until the second national lockdown. Unexpectedly, most participants showed stable low positive affect, indicating anhedonia, throughout the 12-month period. From regression analyses, younger age, reporting a previous mental health diagnosis, non-binary, or self-defined gender, and an unemployed or a student status were significantly associated with membership of the stable high symptom groups for depression and anxiety. Conclusions. While most participants showed little change in their depression and anxiety symptoms across the first year of the pandemic, we highlight the divergent responses of subgroups of participants, who fared both better and worse around national lockdowns. We confirm that previously identified predictors of negative outcomes in the first months of the pandemic also predict negative outcomes over a 12-month period.
KW - Anhedonia
KW - COVID-19 pandemic
KW - lockdown restrictions
KW - trajectory modelling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85144365003&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1017/S0033291722003828
DO - 10.1017/S0033291722003828
M3 - Article
C2 - 36468440
SN - 0033-2917
VL - 53
SP - 6524
EP - 6534
JO - Psychological Medicine
JF - Psychological Medicine
IS - 14
ER -