Abstract
We characterize the optimal signal-adaptive liquidation strategy for an agent subject to power-law resilience and zero temporary price impact with a Gaussian signal, which can include e.g an OU process or fractional Brownian motion. We show that the optimal selling speed (Formula presented.) is a Gaussian Volterra process of the form (Formula presented.) on (Formula presented.), where (Formula presented.) and (Formula presented.) satisfy a family of (linear) Fredholm integral equations of the first kind which can be solved in terms of fractional derivatives. The term (Formula presented.) is the (deterministic) solution for the no-signal case given in Gatheral et al. [Transient linear price impact and Fredholm integral equations. Math. Finance, 2012, 22, 445–474], and we give an explicit formula for (Formula presented.) for the case of a Riemann-Liouville price process as a canonical example of a rough signal. With non-zero linear temporary price impact, the integral equation for (Formula presented.) becomes a Fredholm equation of the second kind. These results build on the earlier work of Gatheral et al. [Transient linear price impact and Fredholm integral equations. Math. Finance, 2012, 22, 445–474] for the no-signal case, and complement the recent work of Neuman and Voß[Optimal signal-adaptive trading with temporary and transient price impact. Preprint, 2020]. Finally we show how to re-express the trading speed in terms of the price history using a new inversion formula for Gaussian Volterra processes of the form (Formula presented.), and we calibrate the model to high frequency limit order book data for various NASDAQ stocks.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 585-596 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Quantitative Finance |
| Volume | 22 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Early online date | 23 Jul 2021 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 4 Mar 2022 |
Keywords
- Fredholm integral equations
- Gaussian processes
- High frequency trading
- Market microstructure modeling
- Optimal liquidation
- Trading with signals
- Transient price impact
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