Possibilities for the future of global mental health: A scenario planning approach

Stefan Priebe; Álvaro Arenas Borrero; Victoria Bird; Alma Džubur Kulenoviĉ; Domenico Giacco; Carlos Gómez Restrepo; Fahmy Hanna; Sandrasagary Jayacodi; Seggane Musisi; Craig Morgan; Noeline Nakasujja; Alina Sabitova; Stephen Sandford; Nelson Sewankambo; José Miguel Uribe Restrepo

doi:10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

Possibilities for the future of global mental health: A scenario planning approach

Stefan Priebe^*, Álvaro Arenas Borrero, Victoria Bird, Alma Džubur Kulenoviĉ, Domenico Giacco, Carlos Gómez Restrepo, Fahmy Hanna, Sandrasagary Jayacodi, Seggane Musisi, Craig Morgan, Noeline Nakasujja, Alina Sabitova, Stephen Sandford, Nelson Sewankambo, José Miguel Uribe Restrepo

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Background: Global mental health is a widely used term describing initiatives in policies, research and practice to improve the mental health of people worldwide. It has been gaining momentum over the last 10 years, reflected in increasing funding opportunities, training programmes, and publications. In light of the rising importance of global mental health and the various uncertainties about its future directions, this paper explores what the future may hold for global mental health in 30 years' time. Method: A scenario planning method was used, involving a workshop with experts from four continents and a range of backgrounds, including clinical and academic psychiatry, psychology, art and music therapy, service user advisory role, funder of global health research and post-graduate students. Results: Six distinct scenarios that describe potential future situations were developed: universal standards for care; worldwide coordination of research; making use of diversity; focus on social factors; globalised care through technology; mental health as a currency in global politics. Conclusions: These scenarios consider different social, economic, scientific and technological drivers and focus on distinct aspects. Some reflect a global application of possible trends in mental health, whilst others apply general global developments to mental health care. They are not fixed forecasts, but instead may help to promote discussion and debate about further developments and decisions.

Original language	English
Article number	392
Journal	BMC Psychiatry
Volume	19
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3
Publication status	Published - 11 Dec 2019

Keywords

Future scenarios
Global health research
Global mental health
Scenario planning

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

Cite this

Priebe, S., Arenas Borrero, Á., Bird, V., Džubur Kulenoviĉ, A., Giacco, D., Gómez Restrepo, C., Hanna, F., Jayacodi, S., Musisi, S., Morgan, C., Nakasujja, N., Sabitova, A., Sandford, S., Sewankambo, N., & Uribe Restrepo, J. M. (2019). Possibilities for the future of global mental health: A scenario planning approach. BMC Psychiatry, 19(1), Article 392. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

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abstract = "Background: Global mental health is a widely used term describing initiatives in policies, research and practice to improve the mental health of people worldwide. It has been gaining momentum over the last 10 years, reflected in increasing funding opportunities, training programmes, and publications. In light of the rising importance of global mental health and the various uncertainties about its future directions, this paper explores what the future may hold for global mental health in 30 years' time. Method: A scenario planning method was used, involving a workshop with experts from four continents and a range of backgrounds, including clinical and academic psychiatry, psychology, art and music therapy, service user advisory role, funder of global health research and post-graduate students. Results: Six distinct scenarios that describe potential future situations were developed: universal standards for care; worldwide coordination of research; making use of diversity; focus on social factors; globalised care through technology; mental health as a currency in global politics. Conclusions: These scenarios consider different social, economic, scientific and technological drivers and focus on distinct aspects. Some reflect a global application of possible trends in mental health, whilst others apply general global developments to mental health care. They are not fixed forecasts, but instead may help to promote discussion and debate about further developments and decisions.",

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author = "Stefan Priebe and {Arenas Borrero}, {\'A}lvaro and Victoria Bird and {D{\v z}ubur Kulenoviĉ}, Alma and Domenico Giacco and {G{\'o}mez Restrepo}, Carlos and Fahmy Hanna and Sandrasagary Jayacodi and Seggane Musisi and Craig Morgan and Noeline Nakasujja and Alina Sabitova and Stephen Sandford and Nelson Sewankambo and {Uribe Restrepo}, {Jos{\'e} Miguel}",

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doi = "10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3",

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Priebe, S, Arenas Borrero, Á, Bird, V, Džubur Kulenoviĉ, A, Giacco, D, Gómez Restrepo, C, Hanna, F, Jayacodi, S, Musisi, S, Morgan, C, Nakasujja, N, Sabitova, A, Sandford, S, Sewankambo, N & Uribe Restrepo, JM 2019, 'Possibilities for the future of global mental health: A scenario planning approach', BMC Psychiatry, vol. 19, no. 1, 392. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

TY - JOUR

T1 - Possibilities for the future of global mental health

T2 - A scenario planning approach

AU - Priebe, Stefan

AU - Arenas Borrero, Álvaro

AU - Bird, Victoria

AU - Džubur Kulenoviĉ, Alma

AU - Giacco, Domenico

AU - Gómez Restrepo, Carlos

AU - Hanna, Fahmy

AU - Jayacodi, Sandrasagary

AU - Musisi, Seggane

AU - Morgan, Craig

AU - Nakasujja, Noeline

AU - Sabitova, Alina

AU - Sandford, Stephen

AU - Sewankambo, Nelson

AU - Uribe Restrepo, José Miguel

PY - 2019/12/11

Y1 - 2019/12/11

N2 - Background: Global mental health is a widely used term describing initiatives in policies, research and practice to improve the mental health of people worldwide. It has been gaining momentum over the last 10 years, reflected in increasing funding opportunities, training programmes, and publications. In light of the rising importance of global mental health and the various uncertainties about its future directions, this paper explores what the future may hold for global mental health in 30 years' time. Method: A scenario planning method was used, involving a workshop with experts from four continents and a range of backgrounds, including clinical and academic psychiatry, psychology, art and music therapy, service user advisory role, funder of global health research and post-graduate students. Results: Six distinct scenarios that describe potential future situations were developed: universal standards for care; worldwide coordination of research; making use of diversity; focus on social factors; globalised care through technology; mental health as a currency in global politics. Conclusions: These scenarios consider different social, economic, scientific and technological drivers and focus on distinct aspects. Some reflect a global application of possible trends in mental health, whilst others apply general global developments to mental health care. They are not fixed forecasts, but instead may help to promote discussion and debate about further developments and decisions.

AB - Background: Global mental health is a widely used term describing initiatives in policies, research and practice to improve the mental health of people worldwide. It has been gaining momentum over the last 10 years, reflected in increasing funding opportunities, training programmes, and publications. In light of the rising importance of global mental health and the various uncertainties about its future directions, this paper explores what the future may hold for global mental health in 30 years' time. Method: A scenario planning method was used, involving a workshop with experts from four continents and a range of backgrounds, including clinical and academic psychiatry, psychology, art and music therapy, service user advisory role, funder of global health research and post-graduate students. Results: Six distinct scenarios that describe potential future situations were developed: universal standards for care; worldwide coordination of research; making use of diversity; focus on social factors; globalised care through technology; mental health as a currency in global politics. Conclusions: These scenarios consider different social, economic, scientific and technological drivers and focus on distinct aspects. Some reflect a global application of possible trends in mental health, whilst others apply general global developments to mental health care. They are not fixed forecasts, but instead may help to promote discussion and debate about further developments and decisions.

KW - Future scenarios

KW - Global health research

KW - Global mental health

KW - Scenario planning

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U2 - 10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

DO - 10.1186/s12888-019-2381-3

M3 - Article

C2 - 31829152

AN - SCOPUS:85076378903

SN - 1471-244X

VL - 19

JO - BMC Psychiatry

JF - BMC Psychiatry

IS - 1

M1 - 392

ER -

Possibilities for the future of global mental health: A scenario planning approach

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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