Reflexive volcanology: Fifteen years of communicating risk and uncertainty in scientific advice on Montserrat

Amy Rosamund Donovan; Clive Oppenheimer; Michael Bravo

doi:10.1144/M39.25

Reflexive volcanology: Fifteen years of communicating risk and uncertainty in scientific advice on Montserrat

Amy Rosamund Donovan, Clive Oppenheimer, Michael Bravo

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

Abstract

This paper examines in detail the history of the Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) reports – formerly the Risk Assessment Panel (RAP). In particular, it discusses examples of processes within the SAC reporting as constituting a reflexive process: as methods are used, reviewed, reacted to and redefined, there is a honing of the material and report format. This is used to draw some conclusions about the nature of reporting volcanic risk and scientific uncertainty, both quantitatively and qualitatively. Results from a 2011 survey of Montserratians are provided to contextualize the discussion. The paper concludes by looking more broadly at risk governance on Montserrat, and how risk management feeds back into risk assessment via the public domain.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	The eruption of the Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, 2000-2010
Subtitle of host publication	Geological Society Memoirs
Place of Publication	London
Publisher	The Geological Society
Pages	457-470
Volume	39
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1144/M39.25
Publication status	Published - 2014

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10.1144/M39.25

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abstract = "This paper examines in detail the history of the Scientific Advisory Committee (SAC) reports – formerly the Risk Assessment Panel (RAP). In particular, it discusses examples of processes within the SAC reporting as constituting a reflexive process: as methods are used, reviewed, reacted to and redefined, there is a honing of the material and report format. This is used to draw some conclusions about the nature of reporting volcanic risk and scientific uncertainty, both quantitatively and qualitatively. Results from a 2011 survey of Montserratians are provided to contextualize the discussion. The paper concludes by looking more broadly at risk governance on Montserrat, and how risk management feeds back into risk assessment via the public domain. ",

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year = "2014",

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Reflexive volcanology: Fifteen years of communicating risk and uncertainty in scientific advice on Montserrat. / Donovan, Amy Rosamund; Oppenheimer, Clive; Bravo, Michael.
The eruption of the Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, 2000-2010: Geological Society Memoirs. Vol. 39 London: The Geological Society, 2014. p. 457-470.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter › peer-review

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AU - Bravo, Michael

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Reflexive volcanology: Fifteen years of communicating risk and uncertainty in scientific advice on Montserrat

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