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Sea-level change, human migration and the intervening influence of policy

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Helen Joyce Adams, David Wrathall, Valerie Mueller

Original languageEnglish
JournalNature climate change
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 2019

King's Authors

Abstract

Minimizing the adverse consequences of sea-level change presents a key societal challenge to people migrating from vulnerable areas and to people living in safer receiving areas where migrants may settle. The key dynamics of human mobility that unfold under sea-level change scenarios – the timing of future displacement and migrations, the likely 5 destinations of mobile people, the volume of both migrants and “trapped” populations, and their condition – are largely dependent on global policy decisions that determine greenhouse gas emissions and local policies around coastal risk that influence where and how we live. Modeling these dynamics can provide important insights for planners and decision makers seeking to understand the effect of specific 10 policies on migration dynamics around sea-level change, and identify intervention pathways that can mitigate the impacts on affected people.

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