TY - JOUR
T1 - Semistructured Interview for Bipolar At Risk States (SIBARS)
AU - Fusar-Poli, Paolo
AU - De Micheli, Andrea
AU - Rocchetti, Matteo
AU - Cappucciati, Marco
AU - Ramella-Cravaro, Valentina
AU - Rutigliano, Grazia
AU - Bonoldi, Ilaria
AU - McGuire, Philip
AU - Falkenberg, Irina
PY - 2018/6
Y1 - 2018/6
N2 - The external prognostic accuracy of Bipolar At Risk (BAR) criteria is undetermined and no psychometric tools are available to measure them. We present here three studies that overcome these limitations. Study 1 and 2 investigated the prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C) of the original BAR and revised Bipolar At Risk States (BARS) criteria respectively for the prediction of bipolar disorders, using a retrospective cohort of individuals at Clinical High Risk for Psychosis (CHR-P). Study 3 validated externally the prognostic accuracy of a newly developed Semistructured Interview of At Risk Bipolar States (SIBARS) in an independent prospective CHR-P cohort. In study 1 (n = 205), those meeting BAR criteria had an increased risk of developing bipolar disorders (HR = 5.30) relative to those not meeting them, but the prognostic accuracy was poor (Harrell's C = 0.659). In study 2 (n = 205), those meeting the refined BARS criteria had a higher risk of developing bipolar disorders than those not meeting them (HR = 12.364), with an adequate prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C = 0.777). Study 3 (n = 71) confirmed that SIBARS criteria had an adequate prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C = 0.742) and clinical utility. Overall, these findings suggest that the SIBARS could be used for the detection of individuals at risk of developing bipolar disorders in CHR-P services.
AB - The external prognostic accuracy of Bipolar At Risk (BAR) criteria is undetermined and no psychometric tools are available to measure them. We present here three studies that overcome these limitations. Study 1 and 2 investigated the prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C) of the original BAR and revised Bipolar At Risk States (BARS) criteria respectively for the prediction of bipolar disorders, using a retrospective cohort of individuals at Clinical High Risk for Psychosis (CHR-P). Study 3 validated externally the prognostic accuracy of a newly developed Semistructured Interview of At Risk Bipolar States (SIBARS) in an independent prospective CHR-P cohort. In study 1 (n = 205), those meeting BAR criteria had an increased risk of developing bipolar disorders (HR = 5.30) relative to those not meeting them, but the prognostic accuracy was poor (Harrell's C = 0.659). In study 2 (n = 205), those meeting the refined BARS criteria had a higher risk of developing bipolar disorders than those not meeting them (HR = 12.364), with an adequate prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C = 0.777). Study 3 (n = 71) confirmed that SIBARS criteria had an adequate prognostic accuracy (Harrell's C = 0.742) and clinical utility. Overall, these findings suggest that the SIBARS could be used for the detection of individuals at risk of developing bipolar disorders in CHR-P services.
U2 - 10.1016/j.psychres.2018.03.074
DO - 10.1016/j.psychres.2018.03.074
M3 - Article
SN - 0165-1781
VL - 264
SP - 302
EP - 309
JO - Psychiatry Research
JF - Psychiatry Research
ER -