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The National Effects of Subnational Representation: Access to Regional Parliaments and National Electoral Performance

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Elias Dinas, Florian Foos

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-35
JournalQuarterly Journal of Political Science
Volume12
Issue number1
Early online date16 May 2017
DOIs
Accepted/In press1 Dec 2016
E-pub ahead of print16 May 2017
Published16 May 2017

King's Authors

Abstract

According to scholarly wisdom, party competition at the subnational level plays a negligible role in national elections. We provide theory and evidence that qualifies this view. Subnational elections determine entrance into subnational parliaments, which provides essential organizational resources: members and money. Since in most cases the same political actors compete at all levels of government, they can make use of these resources to improve their status in national party competition. We test our argument exploiting two institutional features of the German multi-level electoral con- text: the discontinuities generated by the 5% electoral threshold in German state elections, and the occurrence of German state elections at different times in the federal election cycle. We find that parties that marginally cross the threshold for state parliamentary representation gain more members, and eventually perform better in national elections, but only if the party has sufficient time to organize between the state and the federal election. Consistent with our organizational explanation, bottom-up effects are more pronounced where state parliamentary parties receive more financial resources. Alternative mechanisms are tested, and receive no empirical support.

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