The role of subgenual resting-state connectivity networks in predicting prognosis in major depressive disorder

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Abstract

Background: A seminal study found higher subgenual frontal cortex resting-state connectivity with two left ventral frontal regions and the dorsal midbrain to predict better response to psychotherapy versus medication in individuals with treatment-naïve major depressive disorder (MDD). Here, we examined whether these subgenual networks also play a role in the pathophysiology of clinical outcomes in MDD with early treatment-resistance in primary care.

Methods: Forty-five people with current MDD who had not responded to ≥2 serotonergic antidepressants (n=43, meeting pre-defined fMRI minimum quality thresholds) were enrolled and followed up over four months of standard care. Functional MRI resting-state connectivity between the pre-registered subgenual frontal cortex seed and three previously identified left ventromedial, ventrolateral prefrontal/insula, and dorsal midbrain regions was extracted. Clinical outcome was the percentage change on the self-reported Quick Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology (16-item).

Results: We observed a reversal of our pre-registered hypothesis in that higher resting-state connectivity between the subgenual cortex and the a priori ventrolateral prefrontal/insula region predicted favorable rather than unfavorable clinical outcomes (rs[39]=-.43, p=.006). This generalized to the sample including participants with suboptimal fMRI quality (rs[43]=-.35, p=.02). In contrast, no effects (rs[39]=.12, rs[39]=-.01) were found for connectivity with the other two pre-registered regions and in a “whole brain” analysis (voxel-based Family-Wise Error-corrected p<.05).

Conclusions: Subgenual connectivity with the ventrolateral prefrontal cortex/insula is relevant for subsequent clinical outcomes in current MDD with early treatment-resistance. Its positive association with favorable outcomes could be explained primarily by psychosocial rather than the expected pharmacological changes during the follow-up period.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04342299, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04342299
Original languageEnglish
Article number100308
Pages (from-to)100308
JournalBiological Psychiatry: Global Open Science
Volume4
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 13 Mar 2024

Keywords

  • Biomarker
  • Depression
  • fMRI
  • Prognosis
  • Resting-state
  • Subgenual cortex

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