Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC's Fifth Assessment

Aromar Revi; David Satterthwaite; Fernando Aragon-Durand; Jan Corfee-Morlot; Robert B. R. Kiunsi; Mark Pelling; Debra Roberts; William Solecki; Sumetee Pahwa Gajjar; Alice Sverdlik

doi:10.1177/0956247814523539

Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC's Fifth Assessment

Aromar Revi, David Satterthwaite^*, Fernando Aragon-Durand, Jan Corfee-Morlot, Robert B. R. Kiunsi, Mark Pelling, Debra Roberts, William Solecki, Sumetee Pahwa Gajjar, Alice Sverdlik

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

154 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world's urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030-2040) and the long term (2080-2100) with a 2 degrees C and a 4 degrees C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter's Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	11-28
Number of pages	18
Journal	Environment and Urbanization
Volume	26
Issue number	1
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1177/0956247814523539
Publication status	Published - Apr 2014

Keywords

cities
resilience
adaptation
mitigation
climate change
transformation
ORANGI

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1177/0956247814523539

Cite this

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title = "Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC's Fifth Assessment",

abstract = "This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world's urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030-2040) and the long term (2080-2100) with a 2 degrees C and a 4 degrees C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter's Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.",

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AU - Aragon-Durand, Fernando

AU - Corfee-Morlot, Jan

AU - Kiunsi, Robert B. R.

AU - Pelling, Mark

AU - Roberts, Debra

AU - Solecki, William

AU - Gajjar, Sumetee Pahwa

AU - Sverdlik, Alice

PY - 2014/4

Y1 - 2014/4

N2 - This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world's urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030-2040) and the long term (2080-2100) with a 2 degrees C and a 4 degrees C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter's Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.

AB - This paper considers the very large differences in adaptive capacity among the world's urban centres. It then discusses how risk levels may change for a range of climatic drivers of impacts in the near term (2030-2040) and the long term (2080-2100) with a 2 degrees C and a 4 degrees C warming for Dar es Salaam, Durban, London and New York City. The paper is drawn directly from Chapter 8 of Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, the IPCC Working Group II contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report. It includes the complete text of this chapter's Executive Summary. The paper highlights the limits to what adaptation can do to protect urban areas and their economies and populations without the needed global agreement and action on mitigation; this is the case even for cities with high adaptive capacities. It ends with a discussion of transformative adaptation and where learning on how to achieve this needs to come from.

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KW - resilience

KW - adaptation

KW - mitigation

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KW - transformation

KW - ORANGI

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IS - 1

ER -

Towards transformative adaptation in cities: the IPCC's Fifth Assessment

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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